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World Cup 2026 Golden Ball: who takes it home?

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Split image featuring Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe and Lionel Messi
(Photo by Stefan Matzke - sampics/Corbis and Koji Watanabe via Getty Images)

As the World Cup enters its final week, there are only four teams left in contention for the biggest prize in world football. But the World Cup trophy is not the only thing up for grabs.

Given the performances, there are four players who are the current favorites to win the Golden Ball. Of course, with the semi-finals and the final yet to be played, some other names could easily jump up and impress.

Here are some names in contention for the prestigious Golden Ball for the World Cup 2026.

Lionel Messi

Messi arrives with eight goals, tied for the tournament lead, and the all-time World Cup scoring record now sits at 21. However, Mbappe currently leads the Golden Boot tiebreaker on assists, so Messi needs more than raw output. His true case rests on moments, not just numbers.

He scored in Argentina’s dramatic comeback against Egypt and has now netted in six straight knockout matches since 2022. Consequently, voters reward that kind of sustained knockout impact more than group-stage volume.

If Messi inspires one more deciding moment against England, the Golden Ball becomes very hard to deny him.

Kylian Mbappe

Mbappe currently tops the Golden Boot race outright, thanks to three assists against Messi’s two. He’s also extremely productive, sitting second on the all-time World Cup goals list behind Messi. His partnership with Dembele has produced an unmatched six combined goals.

Still, France’s collective overperformance versus their expected goals raises a fair question: how much comes from individual brilliance versus fortunate finishing? If Mbappe leads France past Spain and into the final, though, that debate becomes irrelevant.

Harry Kane

Kane sits just two goals behind the leaders, and he’s chasing a second Golden Boot after already winning one in 2018. Like Mbappe and Messi, he’s also the captain of his country. His free-kick threat and penalty composure have repeatedly bailed England out of tight moments.

However, Kane has lately shared the spotlight with Bellingham, who’s provided more decisive interventions in the biggest moments. Therefore, Kane likely needs a standout semi-final performance, not just steady contribution, to leapfrog his own teammate.

Jude Bellingham

Bellingham has scored six goals without a single penalty, matching Gary Lineker’s long-standing England record from 1986. More impressively, he’s delivered braces in consecutive knockout matches, a feat no player has managed since Maradona in 1986.

That timing matters enormously for Golden Ball voting, since knockout drama outweighs group-stage stat-padding. Still, Bellingham plays in a deeper role than the other three, so his tally for goals is super impressive.

And if he inspires England all the way to the final, his case becomes almost impossible to ignore.

Wild card: Lamine Yamal

Yamal remains the wildcard in this conversation, and his history explains why. At Euro 2024, he scored the tournament’s standout goal in the semi-final against France, then became the youngest player ever to win a major international trophy. That timing wasn’t accidental.

Big moments seem to find him precisely when tournaments reach their sharpest edge, and this World Cup has already hinted at the same pattern. Therefore, Yamal doesn’t need goals to enter this conversation. He simply needs defining contributions in the final two matches.

Given his track record at exactly this stage of major tournaments, nobody should rule that out.

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