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Europe demanded more places at the World Cup. Matchday 1 just humbled them

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Split image featuring Cape Verde celebrate v Spain and Cristiano Ronaldo disappointed.
(Photo by Molly Darlington/Getty Images and Roberto SCHMIDT / AFP via Getty Images)

Last Updated on 18 June 2026

For years, European federations have lobbied FIFA for more World Cup places. Their argument, made loudly and repeatedly, is simple: European football is superior, and the allocation of slots should reflect that.

Then Matchday 1 at the World Cup happened. Across 13 matches against non-European opposition, UEFA’s 16 nations produced six wins, four draws and three losses. And, it’s not just the heat that is causing problems for football’s “elite”.

The rest of the world, apparently, did not receive the memo about European superiority and the numbers demand an honest conversation.

Six wins in the first matchweek that tell a very incomplete story

On paper, six wins from 13 games sounds reasonable. Look closer, however, and the picture becomes far less flattering. Of those six victories, Germany’s 7-1 demolition of Curacao, a nation of 150,000 people playing in their first-ever World Cup, was the most emphatic.

Sweden’s 5-1 win over Tunisia was similarly lopsided, against a side whose manager was sacked before the post-match press conference had even concluded. Norway hammered Iraq 4-1, a result that flattered no one’s intelligence.

Scotland beat Haiti 1-0, scraping past a nation ranked 83rd in the world, one that outplayed them for stretches and deserved a draw. France’s 3-1 win over Senegal and Austria’s 3-1 over Jordan were the only results that carried genuine weight against legitimate opposition.

That leaves four draws and three losses from the remaining seven games. Spain, the tournament’s top-ranked side, could not break down Cape Verde, a nation of under 600,000 people, finishing goalless despite firing 27 shots. Belgium drew 1-1 with Egypt.

Portugal drew 1-1 with DR Congo, who appeared in their first World Cup in 52 years and thoroughly deserved their point. Netherlands drew 2-2 with Japan, a result nobody would have blinked at five years ago but now feels entirely routine.

Meanwhile, Turkiye lost 2-0 to Australia, and Czechia fell 2-1 to South Korea. Bosnia-Herzegovina, too, could only draw 1-1 with Canada. Three defeats and four draws against sides Europe routinely dismisses in qualifying debates. The continent that demands more slots managed a win percentage of 46% on opening day.

This is why the allocation debate is more complicated than Europe admits

The persistent argument from UEFA and European clubs is structural: European leagues produce better players, better coaching and better football. Therefore, more European teams deserve places at the sport’s biggest tournament, as per Yahoo Sports.

That argument has never survived contact with actual World Cup football and Matchday 1 reinforced why. Ivory Coast, ranked 47th, kept Ecuador honest and won through Amad Diallo’s late strike. Cape Verde, debuting in the World Cup, neutralised the world’s top-ranked team.

DR Congo made Portugal look rattled. Jordan created chances against Austria despite the defeat. Japan, South Korea and Australia all outplayed or matched their European opponents. The talent gap that European football assumes exists is narrower than the lobbying suggests.

UEFA currently holds 16 of 48 World Cup places, exactly a third of the field. On Matchday 1, Europe’s sides failed to win more games against the rest of the world than they dropped points in. Before the next round of allocation negotiations, those six wins, four draws and three losses deserve a permanent place in the argument.

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